mardi 29 juin 2010
Suspend, Sepp, Suspend!
dimanche 27 juin 2010
Markets :
Kuwait stocks lost the most in two weeks, leading a decline in Middle East markets, on concern Europe’s debt crisis will slow the global economic recovery and speculation Gulf earnings may disappoint. Israel shares fell. The Kuwait SE Price Index slid 0.8 percent, the most since June 14, to 6,571. Agility led the drop, slumping to the lowest since 2003, after U.S. federal prosecutors said the logistics company may still be overbilling the American government. Saudi Arabia’s benchmark lost 0.6 percent. The TA-25 Index declined 0.7 percent to 1,086.49, the lowest close since June 8, as Israel’s largest communications company, Bezeq Israeli Telecommunication Corp., retreated.
Looking for another slide in risk assets
Sterling reacts well to budget
G 20 : Agreement to disagree over deficits
China's Zhou Eyes Bigger Role for Emerging Economies as G-20 Leaders Meet
Isn't an agreement to disagree no more than acting that differences make a strong case for somewhat a differenciated treatment?
G20 agreement to disagree over deficits
Yes, I guess it is.
In depth G20
Beach Time : A book you can't afford not to read
The State Board of Education & Early Development adopted into regulation Content Standards listed on the following pages. Content Standards are broad statements of what students should know and be able to do as a result of their public school experience.
A student who meets the content standard (Gov and Citizenship - B) should:
1) understand the ideals of this nation as expressed in the Declaration of
Independence, the United States Constitution, and the Bill of Rights;
2) recognize American heritage and culture, including the republican form of
government, capitalism, free enterprise system, patriotism, strong family
units, and freedom of religion;
3) understand the United States Constitution, including separation of powers,
the executive, legislative, and judicial branches of government, majority rule,
and minority rights;
4) know how power is shared in the United States’ constitutional government at
the federal, state, and local levels;
5) understand the importance of individuals, public opinion, media, political
parties, associations, and groups in forming and carrying out public policy;
6) recognize the significance of diversity in the American political system;
7) distinguish between constitution-based ideals and the reality of American
political and social life;
8) understand the place of law in the American political system; and
9) recognize the role of dissent in the American political system.
G 20 : A Greek future for anyone refusing to slash gov crazy spending... Common sense ,still, seems to have opponents ...?
vendredi 25 juin 2010
Week End : G 20 Toronto
Youth :
MY SUMMIT 2010 is the official international youth summit that will be held alongside the G-8 and the G-20 summits. Canada is co-hosting MY SUMMIT 2010 with Global Vision, a not-for-profit organization with expertise in youth leadership training.
jeudi 24 juin 2010
The annual CGT exemption has also been maintained at £10,100 in the short term, and will rise with inflation from next year.
About the 28% you seem to refer to, Capital Gains Tax remained unchanged for threshold and basic rate tax payers but saw an increase to 28% with immediate effect for higher rate tax payers.
Just wondering why you didn't get it though?
Full Budget analysis
Real Estate Price Evolution
Key to your future Geoffroy and watch it!
Read, not once but twice!
RELATIVE HOUSE PRICE DYNAMICS
ACROSS EURO AREA
AND US CITIES
CONVERGENCE OR DIVERGENCE?
Geoffroy..... I won't tell you again.
mercredi 23 juin 2010
Soros Says Germany Could Cause Euro Collapse
Where most recently have we seen social unrest, three killed and some very big demonstrations?
Is it in a country with some very tight budget savings policies, in a country that refused to see the gov spending get out of control or is it in a country that markets would have severely punished and send otherwise to bankrupcy with all the potential consequences Georges is talking about in all the countries and banking systems inevitably severy damaged should Greece had defaulted....?
Was Greece engaged in tight policies, wasn't Greece engaged into too much debt and deficits that lead to the market sanctions...?
If yes, shouldn't anyone conclude Germany requesting a rigourous approach to deficits and debts the best medicine to a stable economy and a safe political environment?
Lagarde Saving Europe Proves Being First Isn’t What’s Electable (Unusual bi-partisan positive sentiment over the french finance minister)
While investors going after Kerviel, they're not going after the management ultimately responsible for the loss due to a guilty lack of competence with a trading desk management at least lazy and amasingly not very curious(Kerviel get caught , we'll look stupid but off the woods, he makes a lot, we get the credit and the bonuses, the guy being a small shot)?
mardi 22 juin 2010
There can't be any fraud in a case when the only beneficiary would be the bank should any bet be winning? It seems the only reason there is a court case is the loss which then is a civil lawsuit?
Say what?
World Cup team Hearings? Must be interesting, nevertheless, what about some hearings for 493 billions of loans made to countries now engulfed with problems by the three major banks?
lundi 21 juin 2010
Expect a difficult second half, why?
Doomsday, Limbo or Revival , an opportunity for quality, faithful and pro counselling?
Today
Stocks, Commodities Climb as China ends Yuan Dollar peg
China's currency move sets positive tone (at least for now...)
Where to live : Eurostat today releases GDP per inhabitant and the winner is Luxembourg - Pay as well a visit here >>>> of course !
China's Hu buys time at G20 with Yuan announcement
EU : Is the "Cardinal" back ?
Dominique's IMF says "watch out"
Unlimited, Unfunded liabilities characterise the french pension system, a poor editorial.....
French pensions
dimanche 20 juin 2010
This Week
vendredi 18 juin 2010
Debt crisis ensnares French, German banks
Publish stress test is a first move but next and can't be avoided must be capital raise big time to restore credit.
EUR/CHF has continued to probe the downside this morning. The recent improvement in Swiss economic data and admission by the SNB yesterday that deflationary risks have all but disappeared suggest that any further intervention by the SNB will be aimed at limiting rather than reversing the move. This suggests there may be further room yet in the EUR/CHF downtrend.
That's all really today.
jeudi 17 juin 2010
mercredi 16 juin 2010
Morning
France urged to spell out budget deficit cuts
Poland's bank chief hails German discipline
Europe Recession Next Year 'Almost Inevitable': Soros
Russia Preparing to Buy Canadian, Australian Dollars to Diversify Reserves
Fed Officials May Trim Forecasts for U.S. Growth on European Debt Crisis
Nomura's Sun Says China Property `Bubble' Will Burst; Prices to Drop 20%
Price increases fuel fears of food ‘crises’
Doubt grows over CDS role in Greek crisis
What to expect ?
Target for gold remains $ 1400 - $ 1500 by year's end (DB forecasts earlier this year was expected $ 1400, it go higher and reach $1500 - softs are late, we should see a nice rally soon)
mardi 15 juin 2010
Economic Recovery slows down - A weakening end for 2010
Today's must
German Investor Confidence Slumps as Sovereign-Debt Crisis Curbs Expansion
Greece Cut to Junk by Moody’s on ‘Substantial’ Risks
Greek Bonds Drop After Moody's Downgrade to Junk; Irish, Spanish Debt Fall
BoE starts buying commercial paper again - Money Supply
Capital flows into Switzerland - FT
lundi 14 juin 2010
A group of 51 German millionaires and billionaires wrote to Chancellor Angela Merkel proposing to give up 10 percent of their income for 10 years to consolidate the budget.
Europe’s Banks Face Second Funding Squeeze on Sovereign Crisis
Markets ’Doing Their Job’
“If you’re not a quality borrower, you’re not going to get funding from the market until you reduce your loan-to-deposit ratio and shrink your balance sheet,” said Simon Maughan, an analyst at MF Global Ltd. in London. “The credit and bond markets are doing their job. Unless you reform, you’ll be stuck on government support for the foreseeable future.”
An official at Natixis declined to comment. Officials at Banesto in Madrid didn’t return calls for comment. “We are comfortably funded,” Commerzbank spokesman Reiner Rossman said by telephone.
dimanche 13 juin 2010
vendredi 11 juin 2010
Reluctance to build risk is around for a while, I'd say...
Get ready, it's coming. The Press today
EU Banks Holding Sovereign Debt Ignore Not-If-But-When Scenario of Default
Caja Madrid, Bancaja Begin Process to Create Biggest Spanish Savings Bank
Soros Says ‘We Have Just Entered Act II’ of Crisis
Debt Spreading 'Like a Cancer': Black Swan Author
Japan PM Warns of Default if Debt Not Fixed
For now,
European Stocks Rally on BP Rebound; U.S. Index Futures Rise, Oil Declines
Time to revisit Slideshow: Countries Most Exposed to the PIIGS
Getting ready, what to do?
Jim says buy commodities if and only if you can spell it.... and stock picking, there will be loosers but winners too.
EU : too much politics as usual,
Prejudice, Politics Block Stress Tests on EU Banks
jeudi 10 juin 2010
Ban the medicine for its secondary effects will cure the cancer, will it?
lundi 7 juin 2010
Don't loose sight
Merkel spells out €80bn spending cuts
Doubts raised about ECB bond buying
Watch Gold if Teheran's red crescent and naval escort heads towards Gaza? Oil?
depends Eonia jumped 9+ in the morning. What do you have?
Lookin good?
Asian Stocks Gain, Euro Rises From Eight-Year Low on Bernanke's Comments
For how long? The rescue plan up and running, has anything been done about what lead to the euro debt crisis in every country?
French economist Christian Saint-Etienne says no. France's triple A to go down.
http://www.challenges.fr/documents/20100520.CHA4168/?xtmc=saint_etienne&xtcr=1 (french)
Has the french gov a plan? Hasn't say much so far and may have no plan, could explain why Angela said next week good enough with people unable to squeeze their spending? Have you been through German Press?
JPMorgan Yields May Exceed Royal Bank of Scotland in CMBS: Credit Markets
Tuesday: Volatile Markets Await Next Jolt from Europe
Getting nasty...
On Sunday (June 6), the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Iran’s elite military corps, said they were ready to provide a naval escort to any additional aid ships wishing to reach Gaza if given orders to do so by the country’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
UN Security Council vote's expection of a new round of sanctions against Iran this week in light of the Islamic Republic’s continued failure to comply with previous UN resolutions regarding its nuclear program has of course nothing to do with the above....?
For more
dimanche 6 juin 2010
vendredi 4 juin 2010
Loan Selloff Forcing Calpine, Borrowers to Increase Rates: Credit Markets
The french refusal to engage into a massive spending cut about to ruin all the efforts to stabilise the euro...
G-20 Nations Split on Increasing Bank Capital Requirements, Official Says
Doubts Over Global Economy Return as G20 Meets
Europe Bank Shares Fall on SocGen Derivative Worries
jeudi 3 juin 2010
Last
Today's - The system remains very shaky, sell the rallies and buy the dips...?
Sharp rise in use of ECB deposit facility
Bond markets idle
Debt Crisis May Cause Run on Europe Banks: Strategist
Banks Deposit Record $394 Billion With ECB, Avoiding Loans to One Another
And here is the problem
Sentiment improves on Wall Street bounce
The risk for the bulls, however, is that a string of supportive fundamentals can easily be rendered swiftly impotent in the face of “headline events” such as last Friday’s downgrade of Spain, which should have been expected but nevertheless had the capacity to shock on arrival.
Providing greater heft to the bad news is classic bear market psyche, and as Maurice Pomery of Strategic Alpha in London says: “The markets are so skittish; the slightest bit of news is seeing huge swings.” Or as Chip Miller, strategist at UBS in New York puts it, “Volatility is volatile right now.”
John Schlitz, chief US market technician at Instinet, said that long-term investors are intrigued by such good days, but still aren’t convinced the bottom is past.
Homework :
Volatile? and sentiment? If you were given the opportunity
- to assess a market, sentiment driven, is naturally and can only be volatile, would you? Explain.
- to compare behaviours, LT investors(Warren) and traders, would you reach the conclusion, the higher the volatility is, the higher the number of sentiment driven market transactions (bullish or bearish) is showing traders outnumber by a lot LT investors?
- to be a legislator, what is the side of the issue you'd choose to take, ban proprietary trading and hope for the best regarding volatility or work a legislation with incentives to rebalance the ratio traders LT investors attracting small LT investors in numbers? Explain.
- Has the crisis shown big gov, unlimited unfunded liabilities take an unsustainable toll on the economy that regulation on financial institutions will not solve? Explain.
mercredi 2 juin 2010
I got that +++
Humanitarian RELIEF IN ACTION, (BBC Footage posted by user LetsFreeGaza, May 31, 2010)
Beating the Hell out of Israeli Naval Commandos
Not yet, coffee.
Have that one, it's a footage of humanitarian equipment though it doesn't say if an extended use of that type of material is scheduled for the next crisis elsewhere in the world, I mean earthquake, tsunamis and else, I guess people will be in no hurry to be saved if MSF change their usual gear for the new life saving tools....!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JvS9PXZ3RWM
Half Time - IHH played a central role in organising the Gaza's flotilla but who are they?
IHH, which plays a central role in organizing the flotilla to the Gaza Strip, is a Turkish humanitarian relief fund with a radical Islamic anti-Western orientation. Besides its legitimate philanthropic activities, it supports radical Islamic networks, including Hamas, and at least in the past, even global jihad elements.
New Issue Market Remains Shut as Bank Default Swaps Rise: Credit Markets
mardi 1 juin 2010
Humanitarian Aid in Action
The European market for securitizations, the primary way of raising capital by banks and governments alike, is currently “dysfunctional”
The continued reliance of some small- to mid-sized euro area banks on central bank refinancing continues to be a cause for concern
In the days leading to the ECB's unprecedented decision to backstop Eurozone debt with outright purchases, trading in some government debt had nearly totally dried up, endangering the functioning of the entire financial system.
Just wondering if you have the extended report? If you do, can you manage a scan?
Fléchissement de l’indice PMI de l’industrie manufacturière française qui atteint un plus bas de trois mois en mai
Les contraintes de capacité persistent, bien que l’emploi recule de nouveau légèrement.
Les pénuries de matières premières entraînent l’inflation des prix des achats qui atteint son plus haut niveau depuis octobre 2004.
Homework :
Capacity constraints were again in evidence, in the meantime manufacturers continue to cut payrolls. What do you expect the business confidence index to confirm?
Global shortages of a number of raw materials continued to drive up input costs during the latest survey period. Input price inflation accelerated to the sharpest since October 2004, with energy, metals, paper and plastics all reported to have risen in price.
What does it say about the competitive advantage a weak currency gives exporters?
Commodities’ Biggest Drop Since Lehman Bear Signal
China Real Estate Bubble Bursts in Bond Market: Credit Markets
Manufacturing Growth From China to Europe Weakens in Sign Recovery Slowing
Roubini Forecasts Sluggish Growth for Years
Spanish Bank Asks for $3 Billion from Rescue Fund
ECB Warns of $239 Billion in Further Bank Loan Losses
Kurdistan - Saturday, 7 deaths, Sunday, 7 deaths, three different locations and one Turquish army base came under Kurdish rebels fire...
Altogether, much easier to forecast markets.